The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Los Angeles Rams 37-20 on “Sunday Night Football” in NFL Week 12. The Rams will look to exact revenge and knock out a second consecutive 14-win team to open the 2025 NFL playoffs.
The Rams enter the game as underdogs despite a convincing win over the Minnesota Vikings in the wild-card round. The Eagles, meanwhile, completely contained Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers offense in their opening round game, but Nick Sirianni and Kellen Moore will be looking to get more out of their top playmakers to make life easier for the team in this contest.
On paper, the Eagles appear to have an advantage over their counterpart akin to the 17-point victory they earned in Week 12. Bettors will likely want to back Philadelphia against the spread while also considering some player props that mostly benefit the Eagles in this matchup between the NFC East and NFC West winners.
What are the best bets for the Eagles vs. Rams NFL playoff game? Here’s a look at the top player props and anytime TD scorers to back during the first of the NFL’s divisional games on Sunday.
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NFL best bets today: Eagles vs. Rams playoffs
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Saquon Barkley 125+ rushing yards (+120)
The last time Barkley and the Eagles faced the Rams, he racked up 302 total yards, including a whopping 255 rushing yards. The latter figure was good for the ninth-most in a single game in NFL history and significantly impacted Barkley’s 2,000-yard season.
Expecting Barkley to repeat that high-end performance isn’t reasonable, but expecting him to have another big game isn’t. The Rams allowed 130 rushing yards per game to their opponents during the regular season, 11th-most in the NFL, and still surrendered 106 rushing yards to the Vikings in the wild-card round despite blowing them out 27-9.
Philadelphia’s offense has averaged the second-most rushing yards per game this season (178.7). As such, the Rams figure to have trouble containing both Barkley and quarterback Jalen Hurts, especially if the Eagles end up playing from ahead.
While taking the over on Barkley’s 111.5 projected rushing yards is the safer proposition, there’s little harm in going with the alternate line of 125-plus yards on the ground. After all, that’s less than half of what he produced last time he played the Rams and it will only take one big chunk play to make the number seem easily achievable.
Kyren Williams UNDER 73.5 rushing yards (-120)
Williams is a high-volume running back, but it’s hard to imagine him finding much success against the Eagles’ strong run defense. Philadelphia allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards to running backs during the 2024 regular season and an average of just 69.4 rushing yards per game to running backs over their last five contests.
Some will counter by pointing out that Williams had a 76-yard game against an equally strong Vikings run defense in the wild-card round. However, the Rams were leading throughout that blowout win and it’s hard to imagine the game script being the same against a ball-dominant Philadelphia team.
So, if the script flips, Williams may not get as many opportunities to carry the ball as he did against Minnesota. As such, it’s a good idea to fade him in this one, both yardage-wise and touchdown-wise, as the Eagles have allowed a league-low five total touchdowns to running backs this season.
Dallas Goedert OVER 3.5 receptions (-135)
The Rams have allowed 106 receptions to tight ends this season, tied for the second-most in the NFL behind only the Cincinnati Bengals (111), so this looks like a good matchup for Goedert.
Goedert returned to action in Week 18 after missing four weeks due to a knee injury. He has been an afterthought since then, with many focused on Barkley’s quest for 2,000 yards and the health of both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, but he logged back-to-back games with six targets and four catches to close the regular season and open the postseason.
Goedert played nine games during the 2024 NFL season and 2025 playoffs, during which he played at least 63% of the team’s snaps. He has recorded at least four catches in six of those contests. That should give him a strong chance to go over his listed 3.5-reception total for this game, even if he doesn’t play the full complement of snaps while dealing with an illness that limited him in practice.
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A.J. Brown anytime TD (+150)
The Rams have had issues against receivers this year. They have surrendered 20 receiving touchdowns to wide-outs, tied for the fourth-most in the NFL. When looking at the type of receivers they have allowed touchdowns to of late, they have typically been the bigger-bodied variety.
Case and point, DK Metcalf (6-4, 235 pounds), Jake Bobo (6-4, 207 pounds), Davante Adams (6-1, 215 pounds) and Mack Hollins (6-4, 221 pounds) represent four of the last five receivers to log a touchdown against the Rams. Khalil Shakir is the lone exception from that six-game stretch, who stands at just 6-0, 190 pounds.
Brown (6-1, 226 pounds) fits more of the size-and-strength mold that has given the Rams secondary trouble this season than his counterpart Smith (6-0, 170 pounds). As such, Brown is the better of the two receivers to back for those looking to bet on a plus-money anytime TD scorer in this contest.
